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Murray St at TN State : Point Spread Analysis
Thursday Feb 23, 2012 8:00 pm -
Nashville, TN
Odds:
Murray St. by 4,
Total Points:
137
Matchup Menu: MUST @ TNST
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Model | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| TN State +3.5 | Official TR Pick | TN State 52% odds to cover |
| TN State +3.5 | Decision Tree | TN State 52% odds to cover |
| Murray St -3.5 | Similar Games | Murray St 59% odds to cover |
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | MUST | adv | TNST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 13-14-1 | 12-9-1 | |
| vs Division | 6-5-0 | 7-2-1 | |
| vs Conference | 9-8-1 | 11-5-1 | |
| Streak | L1 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 4-5-1 | |
| Home | 7-4-0 | 5-4-1 | |
| Away | 6-10-1 | 7-5-0 |
Murray St Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/13 | Home | -- | W by 50 | -- | |
| 11/17 | Home | Middle Tenn | -2.0 | W by 11 | +9.0 |
| 11/20 | Away | Georgia | +8.5 | L by 11 | -2.5 |
| 11/23 | Neutral | WI-Milwkee | +1.5 | W by 3 | +4.5 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Pepperdine | +4.0 | W by 4 | +8.0 |
| 11/25 | Neutral | Weber State | +1.5 | L by 16 | -14.5 |
| 11/28 | Home | Alab A&M | -- | W by 2 | -- |
| 12/02 | Away | Houston | +8.0 | L by 15 | -7.0 |
| 12/05 | Home | Evansville | +3.5 | L by 4 | -0.5 |
| 12/13 | Away | Illinois St | +5.5 | L by 2 | +3.5 |
| 12/18 | Home | S Illinois | -2.5 | L by 15 | -17.5 |
| 12/22 | Away | Wright State | +2.0 | L by 16 | -14.0 |
| 12/30 | Home | -- | W by 26 | -- | |
| 01/02 | Home | Morehead St | -2.0 | W by 5 | +3.0 |
| 01/07 | Home | TN Tech | -6.5 | L by 6 | -12.5 |
| 01/09 | Home | Jksnville St | -12.5 | W by 15 | +2.5 |
| 01/14 | Away | Belmont | +8.0 | L by 8 | 0.0 |
| 01/16 | Away | TN State | -1.5 | L by 2 | -3.5 |
| 01/21 | Home | E Illinois | -9.5 | W by 10 | +0.5 |
| 01/23 | Home | SIU Edward | -10.0 | W by 16 | +6.0 |
| 01/27 | Away | E Kentucky | -1.5 | W by 4 | +2.5 |
| 01/30 | Away | TN Martin | -3.0 | L by 4 | -7.0 |
| 02/04 | Away | SE Missouri | -10.5 | W by 6 | -4.5 |
| 02/06 | Home | Austin Peay | -8.5 | L by 3 | -11.5 |
| 02/11 | Away | SIU Edward | -6.5 | W by 6 | -0.5 |
| 02/13 | Home | SE Missouri | -14.5 | W by 27 | +12.5 |
| 02/20 | Away | Austin Peay | -1.0 | W by 16 | +15.0 |
| 02/25 | Away | E Illinois | -5.0 | L by 11 | -16.0 |
| 02/27 | Home | TN Martin | -6.5 | W by 24 | +17.5 |
| 03/02 | Neutral | E Illinois | -6.5 | W by 16 | +9.5 |
| 03/03 | Neutral | Morehead St | +2.5 | L by 9 | -6.5 |
TN State Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/13 | Away | Loyola-MD | -- | W by 15 | -- |
| 11/16 | Away | Ohio | +5.5 | L by 8 | -2.5 |
| 11/18 | Home | -- | W by 22 | -- | |
| 11/21 | Home | Middle Tenn | +2.5 | L by 3 | -0.5 |
| 11/24 | Home | -- | W by 16 | -- | |
| 11/28 | Away | Kennesaw St | -- | W by 7 | -- |
| 12/05 | Home | Stetson | -- | W by 20 | -- |
| 12/12 | Neutral | Grambling St | -- | W by 12 | -- |
| 12/14 | Away | Stetson | -- | W by 3 | -- |
| 12/17 | Home | Lipscomb | -- | W by 3 | -- |
| 12/19 | Neutral | Alcorn State | -- | W by 5 | -- |
| 12/22 | Away | Illinois St | +8.5 | L by 11 | -2.5 |
| 12/29 | Away | Tennessee | +12.0 | L by 5 | +7.0 |
| 01/02 | Away | SE Missouri | -5.0 | W by 6 | +1.0 |
| 01/06 | Away | E Illinois | -1.5 | W by 5 | +3.5 |
| 01/09 | Home | SIU Edward | -7.5 | W by 3 | -4.5 |
| 01/14 | Home | Austin Peay | -3.0 | W by 14 | +11.0 |
| 01/16 | Home | Murray St | +1.5 | W by 2 | +3.5 |
| 01/24 | Away | Belmont | +11.5 | L by 8 | +3.5 |
| 01/28 | Away | TN Tech | +4.0 | L by 2 | +2.0 |
| 01/30 | Away | Jksnville St | -5.0 | W by 25 | +20.0 |
| 02/04 | Home | E Kentucky | -5.5 | L by 16 | -21.5 |
| 02/06 | Home | Morehead St | -1.0 | W by 1 | 0.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | TN Tech | -2.0 | W by 30 | +28.0 |
| 02/13 | Away | E Kentucky | +2.0 | W by 1 | +3.0 |
| 02/18 | Away | Morehead St | +4.5 | L by 5 | -0.5 |
| 02/20 | Home | Jksnville St | -11.0 | W by 15 | +4.0 |
| 02/25 | Away | TN Martin | +1.0 | L by 16 | -15.0 |
| 02/28 | Home | Belmont | -1.0 | W by 15 | +14.0 |
| 03/03 | Neutral | Austin Peay | -7.5 | L by 2 | -9.5 |
| 03/15 | Home | Ball State | -4.0 | L by 5 | -9.0 |