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Murray St at TN State : Point Spread Analysis
Thursday Feb 23, 2012 8:00 pm -
Nashville, TN
Odds:
Murray St. by 4,
Total Points:
137
Matchup Menu: MUST @ TNST
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Model | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| TN State +3.5 | Official TR Pick | TN State 52% odds to cover |
| TN State +3.5 | Decision Tree | TN State 52% odds to cover |
| Murray St -3.5 | Similar Games | Murray St 59% odds to cover |
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | MUST | adv | TNST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 12-18-0 | 12-13-0 | |
| vs Division | 4-7-0 | 4-6-0 | |
| vs Conference | 8-11-0 | 7-10-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 3-7-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 4-7-0 | 2-6-0 | |
| Away | 8-11-0 | 10-7-0 |
Murray St Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11 | Home | Illinois St | +2.0 | W by 3 | +5.0 |
| 11/15 | Away | Middle Tenn | +8.0 | L by 6 | +2.0 |
| 11/19 | Neutral | WI-Grn Bay | -1.5 | W by 16 | +14.5 |
| 11/20 | Neutral | UMKC | -5.5 | L by 11 | -16.5 |
| 11/21 | Away | Bowling Grn | -2.5 | L by 1 | -3.5 |
| 11/26 | Home | Alab A&M | -- | W by 37 | -- |
| 11/29 | Away | S Illinois | +2.0 | L by 4 | -2.0 |
| 12/03 | Home | Detroit | -14.5 | W by 10 | -4.5 |
| 12/10 | Away | Evansville | +3.0 | L by 32 | -29.0 |
| 12/12 | Home | -- | W by 38 | -- | |
| 12/15 | Away | Mississippi | +10.5 | L by 5 | +5.5 |
| 12/17 | Away | S Dakota St | +2.5 | L by 4 | -1.5 |
| 12/22 | Home | Wright State | -6.0 | L by 15 | -21.0 |
| 12/29 | Home | -- | W by 16 | -- | |
| 12/31 | Home | TN State | +2.0 | W by 9 | +11.0 |
| 01/05 | Away | Jksnville St | +5.0 | W by 13 | +18.0 |
| 01/07 | Away | TN Tech | -4.5 | L by 4 | -8.5 |
| 01/12 | Away | E Illinois | -1.0 | W by 11 | +10.0 |
| 01/14 | Away | SIU Edward | -7.5 | W by 8 | +0.5 |
| 01/19 | Home | E Kentucky | -8.5 | W by 7 | -1.5 |
| 01/21 | Away | Austin Peay | -5.0 | L by 3 | -8.0 |
| 01/26 | Home | SE Missouri | -8.5 | L by 1 | -9.5 |
| 01/28 | Home | TN Martin | -6.0 | W by 8 | +2.0 |
| 02/02 | Home | Belmont | +2.5 | L by 12 | -9.5 |
| 02/08 | Away | Morehead St | +4.0 | L by 1 | +3.0 |
| 02/11 | Home | Austin Peay | -10.0 | W by 44 | +34.0 |
| 02/16 | Home | SIU Edward | -14.5 | W by 11 | -3.5 |
| 02/18 | Home | E Illinois | -7.5 | L by 17 | -24.5 |
| 02/23 | Away | SE Missouri | -1.0 | L by 13 | -14.0 |
| 02/25 | Away | TN Martin | +2.0 | L by 7 | -5.0 |
| 03/01 | Neutral | TN Tech | -3.5 | W by 1 | -2.5 |
| 03/02 | Neutral | Morehead St | +3.0 | W by 6 | +9.0 |
| 03/03 | Neutral | TN Martin | +1.5 | L by 6 | -4.5 |
TN State Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11 | Neutral | UC Davis | -4.5 | W by 14 | +9.5 |
| 11/12 | Neutral | N Arizona | -10.0 | W by 4 | -6.0 |
| 11/13 | Away | Santa Clara | -1.5 | W by 8 | +6.5 |
| 11/19 | Away | Middle Tenn | +7.5 | W by 11 | +18.5 |
| 11/23 | Away | Canisius | -4.5 | W by 14 | +9.5 |
| 11/26 | Home | -- | W by 32 | -- | |
| 11/29 | Away | Vanderbilt | +6.5 | L by 24 | -17.5 |
| 12/03 | Away | Lipscomb | -- | W by 1 | -- |
| 12/10 | Away | NC State | +9.0 | L by 12 | -3.0 |
| 12/14 | Home | Alabama St | -- | W by 22 | -- |
| 12/19 | Away | Duke | +28.0 | L by 10 | +18.0 |
| 12/27 | Home | -- | W by 31 | -- | |
| 12/31 | Away | Murray St | -2.0 | L by 9 | -11.0 |
| 01/02 | Home | Kennesaw St | -- | L by 3 | -- |
| 01/05 | Home | SE Missouri | -11.5 | W by 3 | -8.5 |
| 01/07 | Home | TN Martin | -7.0 | W by 11 | +4.0 |
| 01/12 | Away | E Kentucky | -4.5 | W by 14 | +9.5 |
| 01/14 | Away | Morehead St | +1.0 | L by 2 | -1.0 |
| 01/19 | Home | TN Tech | -10.0 | L by 6 | -16.0 |
| 01/21 | Home | Jksnville St | -4.0 | L by 7 | -11.0 |
| 01/25 | Away | SIU Edward | -7.5 | W by 20 | +12.5 |
| 01/28 | Home | Belmont | +2.0 | L by 17 | -15.0 |
| 02/02 | Home | E Illinois | -6.5 | L by 10 | -16.5 |
| 02/04 | Away | Austin Peay | -3.5 | W by 4 | +0.5 |
| 02/09 | Away | TN Tech | -2.0 | W by 13 | +11.0 |
| 02/11 | Away | Jksnville St | +2.5 | L by 6 | -3.5 |
| 02/16 | Home | Morehead St | (Pick) | W by 12 | +12.0 |
| 02/18 | Home | E Kentucky | -7.5 | W by 2 | -5.5 |
| 02/25 | Away | Belmont | +9.0 | L by 5 | +4.0 |
| 03/01 | Neutral | SE Missouri | -5.0 | L by 3 | -8.0 |