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Murray St vs. S Mississippi : Box Score Simulation

Saturday Nov 26, 2011 11:59 pm - Anchorage, AK (Neutral Site)
Odds: Southern Miss by 2.5, Total Points: 131.5

More Games From Nov 26, 2011

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring MUST USM
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting MUST USM
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 59.7 56.6
Field Goal % 44.4% 42.9%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 31.2 33.8
2 Point Shooting % 49.0% 51.3%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 28.5 22.8
3 Point Shooting % 39.4% 30.5%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 20.3 18.5
Free Throw % 73.8% 73.6%
Ball Control MUST USM
Rebounds 37.9 33.3
Rebounds - Defensive 28.0 26.3
Rebounds - Offensive 9.9 7.0
Turnovers 9.2 10.8
Blocked Shots 2.3 2.2
Steals 4.9 4.1
Fouls 16.1 14.5

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MUST USM
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with MUST USM
2 Point Attempt 37.9% 42.5%
3 Point Attempt 34.6% 28.6%
Player Fouled 20.3% 22.5%
Turnover 12.9% 15.0%
Opponent Steal 5.7% 6.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken MUST USM
Shot Blocked 3.9% 4.0%
Offensive Rebound 27.3% 19.9%