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Niagara at Manhattan: Box Score Simulation

Sunday Feb 18, 2018 2:00 pm - Riverdale, NY
Odds: Manhattan by 3, Total Points: 150.5

Matchup Menu: NIAG @ MAN

More Games From Feb 18, 2018

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring NIAG MAN
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting NIAG MAN
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 55.1 57.5
Field Goal % 49.7% 46.9%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 38.0 40.6
2 Point Shooting % 55.0% 52.6%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 17.0 16.9
3 Point Shooting % 38.0% 33.1%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 17.9 13.1
Free Throw % 74.1% 73.2%
Ball Control NIAG MAN
Rebounds 32.8 29.8
Rebounds - Defensive 25.8 23.2
Rebounds - Offensive 7.0 6.6
Turnovers 11.0 10.8
Blocked Shots 2.3 3.0
Steals 6.0 7.2
Fouls 11.6 14.1

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.6 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NIAG MAN
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with NIAG MAN
2 Point Attempt 48.7% 52.5%
3 Point Attempt 21.9% 21.9%
Player Fouled 20.2% 16.6%
Turnover 15.7% 15.5%
Opponent Steal 10.3% 8.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken NIAG MAN
Shot Blocked 5.3% 4.2%
Offensive Rebound 23.1% 20.4%