Niagara at Manhattan : Box Score Simulation

Sunday Jan 22, 2012 4:00 pm - Riverdale, NY
Odds: Manhattan by 9, Total Points: 141

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting NIAG MANH
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 47.2 51.1
Field Goal % 42.4% 49.7%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 34.6 31.9
2 Point Shooting % 44.9% 57.2%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 12.5 19.3
3 Point Shooting % 35.3% 37.4%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 28.2 24.5
Free Throw % 71.1% 69.5%
Ball Control NIAG MANH
Rebounds 32.0 30.1
Rebounds - Defensive 21.9 21.8
Rebounds - Offensive 10.0 8.2
Turnovers 15.8 12.7
Blocked Shots 2.3 3.5
Steals 5.8 7.5
Fouls 19.9 20.4

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NIAG MANH
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with NIAG MANH
2 Point Attempt 42.1% 39.8%
3 Point Attempt 15.2% 24.1%
Player Fouled 28.7% 28.0%
Turnover 22.3% 17.9%
Opponent Steal 10.6% 8.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken NIAG MANH
Shot Blocked 6.8% 5.0%
Offensive Rebound 31.4% 27.2%