Evansville at Valparaiso: Point Spread Line Movement

Friday Feb 6, 2026 8:00 pm - Valparaiso, IN
Odds: Valparaiso by 9, Total Points: 136

Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines

Since the start of the 2020-2021 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2581 games where the closing line favored the home team by 8 to 10 points. In these games:

• The team like Valparaiso won the game 2098 times (81.3%).
• The team like Evansville won the game 483 times (18.7%).
• The team like Valparaiso did better against the spread, going 1270-1257-54 (50.3% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.4 points.

Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement

Since the start of the 2022-2023 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2980 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1 points less than the opening line.

In these games, the team like Valparaiso did better against the spread, going 1482-1443-55 (50.7% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points.

Spread History

The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.