Evansville at Valparaiso: Money Line Analysis

Friday Feb 6, 2026 8:00 pm - Valparaiso, IN
Odds: Valparaiso by 9, Total Points: 136

Matchup Menu: EVAN @ VALP

Value Pick	Model	Confidence
Evansville +431	Official TR Pick	Model shows 2% value
Valparaiso -525	Similar Games	Model shows 2% value

Record	EVAN	VALP
Season	7-24	17-14
vs Division	0-0	0-0
vs Conference	3-18	12-10
Streak	L2	L1
Last 5	1-4	3-2
Last 10	2-8	7-3
Home	5-10	13-4
Away	2-15	5-11

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Score	Result	Margin
11/04	Away	Purdue	51-82	L	-31.0
11/07	Home	Calumet	92-50	W	+42.0
11/09	Home	Oakland City	76-47	W	+29.0
11/12	Home	Middle Tenn	72-77	L	-5.0
11/18	Home	UT Arlington	76-84	L	-8.0
11/21	Neutral	Oregon St	73-69	W	+4.0
11/23	Neutral	Akron	59-97	L	-38.0
11/24	Neutral	Charleston	59-78	L	-19.0
12/03	Home	Ball St	64-52	W	+12.0
12/06	Away	W Kentucky	79-80	L	-1.0
12/13	Away	Notre Dame	58-82	L	-24.0
12/16	Home	Belmont	78-83	L	-5.0
12/21	Home	Drake	65-66	L	-1.0
12/29	Away	Bradley	68-76	L	-8.0
01/01	Away	Illinois St	47-73	L	-26.0
01/04	Home	N Iowa	48-62	L	-14.0
01/07	Home	Murray St	69-79	L	-10.0
01/10	Away	Indiana St	72-69	W	+3.0
01/13	Home	Bradley	90-94	L	-4.0
01/20	Away	Illinois Chicago	49-76	L	-27.0
01/28	Away	Drake	78-82	L	-4.0
01/31	Away	N Iowa	55-71	L	-16.0
02/03	Home	Indiana St	63-84	L	-21.0
02/06	Away	Valparaiso	63-70	L	-7.0
02/09	Home	Illinois St	88-80	W	+8.0
02/12	Away	S Illinois	60-86	L	-26.0
02/18	Home	Illinois Chicago	46-84	L	-38.0
02/21	Away	Murray St	75-88	L	-13.0
02/25	Away	Belmont	64-98	L	-34.0
02/28	Home	Valparaiso	80-79	W	+1.0
03/01	Home	S Illinois	67-81	L	-14.0
03/05	Neutral	N Iowa	59-68	L	-9.0

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Score	Result	Margin
11/04	Home	E Illinois	66-63	W	+3.0
11/07	Away	Kentucky	59-107	L	-48.0
11/12	Home	Nicholls	68-63	W	+5.0
11/16	Home	Bryant	68-50	W	+18.0
11/19	Away	Cleveland St	90-75	W	+15.0
11/26	Home	S Indiana	56-64	L	-8.0
11/29	Home	W Michigan	84-55	W	+29.0
12/02	Away	Marquette	72-75	L	-3.0
12/06	Home	Calumet	98-58	W	+40.0
12/13	Home	NC Wilmington	70-73	L	-3.0
12/16	Away	Northwestern	70-86	L	-16.0
12/21	Home	Murray St	79-85	L	-6.0
12/29	Away	N Iowa	48-58	L	-10.0
01/01	Away	S Illinois	70-75	L	-5.0
01/04	Home	Illinois Chicago	66-59	W	+7.0
01/07	Home	Illinois St	77-71	W	+6.0
01/10	Away	Murray St	79-92	L	-13.0
01/13	Away	Belmont	74-78	L	-4.0
01/17	Home	N Iowa	54-44	W	+10.0
01/21	Home	S Illinois	69-63	W	+6.0
01/28	Home	Belmont	77-78	L	-1.0
01/31	Away	Indiana St	76-72	W	+4.0
02/03	Away	Bradley	65-72	L	-7.0
02/06	Home	Evansville	70-63	W	+7.0
02/09	Away	Drake	81-76	W	+5.0
02/12	Away	Illinois St	64-86	L	-22.0
02/15	Home	Indiana St	76-75	W	+1.0
02/18	Home	Bradley	79-72	W	+7.0
02/21	Away	Illinois Chicago	71-67	W	+4.0
02/25	Home	Drake	74-71	W	+3.0
02/28	Away	Evansville	79-80	L	-1.0
03/05	Neutral	Indiana St	63-62	W	+1.0
03/06	Neutral	Bradley	84-90	L	-6.0