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E Carolina at Memphis

  Wednesday Feb 22, 2012 - 8:00 pm - Memphis, TN | Odds: Memphis by 14.5, Total Points: 136.5 | Team Pages: ECAR | MEM

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring ECAR MEM
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view

Shooting ECAR MEM
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 53.3 55.0
Field Goal % 36.7% 50.4%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 34.4 37.6
2 Point Shooting % 39.5% 59.1%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 18.9 17.4
3 Point Shooting % 31.7% 31.5%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 18.2 17.2
Free Throw % 68.5% 67.7%

Ball Control ECAR MEM
Rebounds 27.3 39.2
Rebounds - Defensive 18.4 27.1
Rebounds - Offensive 9.0 12.1
Turnovers 10.5 10.4
Blocked Shots 1.9 6.8
Steals 6.1 6.0
Fouls 13.5 15.2

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.7 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ECAR MEM
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view

% of Possessions with ECAR MEM
2 Point Attempt 44.9% 48.4%
3 Point Attempt 24.8% 22.4%
Player Fouled 23.5% 20.8%
Turnover 16.1% 16.1%
Opponent Steal 9.2% 9.3%

Odds Per Shot Taken ECAR MEM
Shot Blocked 12.5% 3.7%
Offensive Rebound 24.8% 39.8%