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E Carolina at Central FL

  Saturday Feb 18, 2012 - 7:00 pm - Orlando, FL | Odds: Central Florida by 8.5, Total Points: 132.5 | Team Pages: ECAR | UCF

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring ECAR UCF
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view

Shooting ECAR UCF
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 58.3 51.9
Field Goal % 45.9% 48.7%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 38.1 31.5
2 Point Shooting % 49.3% 58.2%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 20.2 20.5
3 Point Shooting % 39.5% 34.0%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 14.0 18.0
Free Throw % 68.5% 64.2%

Ball Control ECAR UCF
Rebounds 31.1 33.0
Rebounds - Defensive 21.1 23.7
Rebounds - Offensive 10.0 9.3
Turnovers 8.3 10.9
Blocked Shots 2.5 3.8
Steals 6.0 4.3
Fouls 14.8 12.8

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ECAR UCF
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view

% of Possessions with ECAR UCF
2 Point Attempt 49.8% 41.8%
3 Point Attempt 26.5% 27.2%
Player Fouled 19.8% 22.8%
Turnover 12.8% 16.7%
Opponent Steal 6.6% 9.2%

Odds Per Shot Taken ECAR UCF
Shot Blocked 7.5% 4.4%
Offensive Rebound 29.8% 30.6%