This section is showing information that is up to date as of the end of the 2018-19 NCAA Basketball season. To join our email list and get notified when we launch the 2019-20 NCAA Basketball section, register for a free account.

E Carolina at S Florida: Box Score Simulation

Sunday Feb 10, 2019 5:30 pm - Tampa, FL
Odds: South Florida by 12, Total Points: 131

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring ECAR USF
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting ECAR USF
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 52.7 50.5
Field Goal % 42.9% 45.7%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 37.7 30.8
2 Point Shooting % 48.4% 53.4%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 15.1 19.7
3 Point Shooting % 29.1% 33.6%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 24.2 32.4
Free Throw % 68.5% 65.7%
Ball Control ECAR USF
Rebounds 29.1 39.1
Rebounds - Defensive 21.6 26.8
Rebounds - Offensive 7.6 12.3
Turnovers 13.6 14.7
Blocked Shots 4.2 3.7
Steals 6.9 7.4
Fouls 21.0 18.2

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ECAR USF
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with ECAR USF
2 Point Attempt 45.7% 35.2%
3 Point Attempt 18.3% 22.6%
Player Fouled 24.9% 28.6%
Turnover 18.5% 20.1%
Opponent Steal 10.0% 9.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken ECAR USF
Shot Blocked 7.5% 8.1%
Offensive Rebound 22.1% 36.3%