Sacred Hrt at Mass Lowell: Box Score Simulation

Wednesday Dec 4, 2019 7:00 pm - Lowell, MA
Odds: Massachusetts Lowell by 1, Total Points: 156.5

More Games From Dec 4, 2019

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring SH UMASS
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting SH UMASS
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 60.8 54.3
Field Goal % 30.9% 46.3%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 36.8 37.1
2 Point Shooting % 36.2% 55.4%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 24.0 17.2
3 Point Shooting % 22.8% 26.8%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 27.1 27.0
Free Throw % 68.4% 64.9%
Ball Control SH UMASS
Rebounds 37.0 44.3
Rebounds - Defensive 24.8 34.2
Rebounds - Offensive 12.2 10.1
Turnovers 9.4 12.4
Blocked Shots 1.6 5.2
Steals 5.2 2.3
Fouls 21.7 19.1

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SH UMASS
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with SH UMASS
2 Point Attempt 41.8% 43.8%
3 Point Attempt 27.3% 20.4%
Player Fouled 25.9% 29.4%
Turnover 12.7% 16.8%
Opponent Steal 3.1% 7.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken SH UMASS
Shot Blocked 9.7% 2.6%
Offensive Rebound 26.3% 29.0%