Denver at Montana: Box Score Simulation

Sunday Nov 24, 2024 7:00 pm - Missoula, MT
Odds: Montana by 10.5, Total Points: 148

Matchup Menu: DEN @ MONT

More Games From Nov 24, 2024

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring DEN MONT
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting DEN MONT
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 61.6 54.7
Field Goal % 45.1% 53.5%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 39.2 33.6
2 Point Shooting % 51.0% 62.0%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 22.4 21.1
3 Point Shooting % 34.9% 39.8%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 20.9 20.8
Free Throw % 77.4% 76.8%
Ball Control DEN MONT
Rebounds 32.7 32.0
Rebounds - Defensive 22.5 26.3
Rebounds - Offensive 10.2 5.8
Turnovers 7.8 10.5
Blocked Shots 1.7 1.8
Steals 5.2 4.2
Fouls 15.9 16.8

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.6 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DEN MONT
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with DEN MONT
2 Point Attempt 47.2% 42.8%
3 Point Attempt 27.0% 26.9%
Player Fouled 23.3% 22.0%
Turnover 10.9% 14.6%
Opponent Steal 5.8% 7.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken DEN MONT
Shot Blocked 3.4% 2.8%
Offensive Rebound 28.0% 20.4%