Youngs St vs. Detroit : Box Score Simulation

Friday Mar 2, 2012 6:00 pm - Valparaiso, IN (Neutral Site)
Odds: Detroit Mercy by 5.5, Total Points: 139

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring YOST DET
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting YOST DET
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 65.8 59.6
Field Goal % 49.0% 50.8%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 42.1 35.9
2 Point Shooting % 54.0% 58.5%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 23.7 23.8
3 Point Shooting % 39.9% 39.2%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 22.4 23.4
Free Throw % 64.2% 75.0%
Ball Control YOST DET
Rebounds 37.2 33.5
Rebounds - Defensive 24.4 25.5
Rebounds - Offensive 12.7 7.9
Turnovers 11.7 13.6
Blocked Shots 4.6 2.7
Steals 6.4 5.0
Fouls 20.1 16.8

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats YOST DET
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with YOST DET
2 Point Attempt 45.3% 40.4%
3 Point Attempt 25.5% 26.7%
Player Fouled 21.3% 25.4%
Turnover 14.8% 17.2%
Opponent Steal 6.3% 8.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken YOST DET
Shot Blocked 4.6% 7.1%
Offensive Rebound 33.3% 24.5%