High Point at SC Upstate: Box Score Simulation

Monday Jan 20, 2020 6:00 pm - Spartanburg, SC
Odds: South Carolina Upstate by 6.5, Total Points: 138

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring HP SCUS
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting HP SCUS
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 52.6 57.3
Field Goal % 47.3% 42.0%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 33.9 31.7
2 Point Shooting % 53.4% 49.2%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 18.7 25.6
3 Point Shooting % 36.3% 33.1%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 21.6 17.4
Free Throw % 65.7% 69.7%
Ball Control HP SCUS
Rebounds 34.6 33.3
Rebounds - Defensive 27.4 24.7
Rebounds - Offensive 7.1 8.7
Turnovers 13.1 11.9
Blocked Shots 2.7 4.0
Steals 5.0 6.4
Fouls 14.5 16.7

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats HP SCUS
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with HP SCUS
2 Point Attempt 42.3% 39.1%
3 Point Attempt 23.4% 31.5%
Player Fouled 23.4% 20.3%
Turnover 18.3% 16.7%
Opponent Steal 8.9% 6.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken HP SCUS
Shot Blocked 7.0% 5.2%
Offensive Rebound 22.5% 24.0%