Georgia St at Texas State: Box Score Simulation

Saturday Feb 22, 2020 5:00 pm - San Marcos, TX
Odds: Texas State by 4, Total Points: 143

More Games From Feb 22, 2020

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring GSU TXST
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting GSU TXST
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 56.8 57.2
Field Goal % 41.7% 42.5%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 36.2 42.4
2 Point Shooting % 46.2% 47.3%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 20.6 14.8
3 Point Shooting % 33.6% 28.7%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 21.7 28.1
Free Throw % 73.5% 73.7%
Ball Control GSU TXST
Rebounds 35.5 37.6
Rebounds - Defensive 24.7 25.4
Rebounds - Offensive 10.8 12.2
Turnovers 13.5 11.1
Blocked Shots 4.3 3.5
Steals 5.0 5.2
Fouls 18.9 16.4

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.6 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats GSU TXST
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with GSU TXST
2 Point Attempt 42.4% 48.7%
3 Point Attempt 24.1% 17.0%
Player Fouled 22.4% 25.8%
Turnover 18.4% 15.1%
Opponent Steal 7.1% 6.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken GSU TXST
Shot Blocked 6.3% 7.7%
Offensive Rebound 29.9% 33.2%