Furman at Alabama: Box Score Simulation

Tuesday Nov 19, 2019 8:00 pm - Tuscaloosa, AL
Odds: Alabama by 3.5, Total Points: 152.5

More Games From Nov 19, 2019

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring FUR ALA
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting FUR ALA
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 62.2 62.9
Field Goal % 42.2% 51.2%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 31.9 35.5
2 Point Shooting % 53.3% 63.6%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 30.4 27.4
3 Point Shooting % 30.6% 35.2%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 17.8 23.9
Free Throw % 75.6% 69.0%
Ball Control FUR ALA
Rebounds 30.3 42.5
Rebounds - Defensive 21.7 29.3
Rebounds - Offensive 8.6 13.2
Turnovers 13.5 12.6
Blocked Shots 3.2 5.0
Steals 8.0 8.4
Fouls 17.0 14.1

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats FUR ALA
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with FUR ALA
2 Point Attempt 36.1% 38.6%
3 Point Attempt 34.4% 29.8%
Player Fouled 18.2% 22.0%
Turnover 17.4% 16.2%
Opponent Steal 10.9% 10.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken FUR ALA
Shot Blocked 8.1% 5.2%
Offensive Rebound 22.6% 37.8%