Fla Atlantic at LA Lafayette : Box Score Simulation

Saturday Dec 31, 2011 5:15 pm - Lafayette, LA
Odds: UL Lafayette by 3, Total Points: 137.5

More Games From Dec 31, 2011

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring FAU ULLA
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting FAU ULLA
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 59.9 62.0
Field Goal % 37.1% 41.7%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 45.5 41.8
2 Point Shooting % 38.9% 46.7%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 14.3 20.2
3 Point Shooting % 31.3% 31.4%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 18.2 21.7
Free Throw % 73.2% 74.9%
Ball Control FAU ULLA
Rebounds 37.5 41.9
Rebounds - Defensive 27.8 30.6
Rebounds - Offensive 9.7 11.3
Turnovers 13.2 10.8
Blocked Shots 2.9 2.8
Steals 4.9 8.8
Fouls 15.5 14.4

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats FAU ULLA
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with FAU ULLA
2 Point Attempt 53.0% 47.8%
3 Point Attempt 16.7% 23.1%
Player Fouled 19.2% 20.7%
Turnover 17.6% 14.3%
Opponent Steal 11.8% 6.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken FAU ULLA
Shot Blocked 4.6% 5.0%
Offensive Rebound 24.1% 28.9%