Penn St at Michigan: Point Spread Line Movement

Thursday Feb 5, 2026 6:30 pm - Ann Arbor, MI
Odds: Michigan by 26.5, Total Points: 162.5

Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines

Since the start of the 2020-2021 NCAA Basketball season there have been 283 games where the closing line favored the home team by 25.5 to 27.5 points. In these games:

• The team like Michigan won the game 282 times (99.6%).
• The team like Penn State won the game 1 times (0.4%).
• The team like Michigan did better against the spread, going 153-126-4 (54.8% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.5 points.

Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement

Since the start of the 2022-2023 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2980 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1 points more than the opening line.

In these games, the team like Penn State did better against the spread, going 1482-1443-55 (50.7% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points.

Spread History

The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.