Penn St at Michigan: Point Spread Analysis

Thursday Feb 5, 2026 6:30 pm - Ann Arbor, MI
Odds: Michigan by 26.5, Total Points: 162.5

Matchup Menu: PSU @ MICH

More Games From Feb 5, 2026

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Penn St +26.5 Official TR Pick Penn St 51% odds to cover
Penn St +26.5 Power Rating Model Penn St 76% odds to cover
Penn St +26.5 Similar Games Penn St 53% odds to cover
Penn St +26.5 Decision Tree Penn St 52% odds to cover
Michigan -26.5 Predictive Ratings Michigan 52% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record PSU adv MICH
Season 12-20-0 15-19-0
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 9-12-0 8-15-0
Streak L3 L5
Last 5 1-4-0 0-5-0
Last 10 3-7-0 3-7-0
Home 7-10-0 8-7-0
Away 5-10-0 7-12-0

Penn St Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Home Fairfield -15.5 W by 8 -7.5
11/08 Away New Haven -18.5 W by 44 +25.5
11/11 Home Navy -12.0 W by 9 -3.0
11/15 Neutral La Salle -8.0 W by 14 +6.0
11/19 Home Harvard -12.5 W by 4 -8.5
11/22 Neutral Providence +3.5 L by 12 -8.5
11/25 Home Boston U -14.0 W by 9 -5.0
11/29 Home Sacred Heart -15.0 W by 31 +16.0
12/02 Home Campbell -14.5 W by 11 -3.5
12/09 Away Indiana +14.5 L by 41 -26.5
12/13 Home Michigan St +12.5 L by 4 +8.5
12/21 Neutral Pittsburgh (Pick) L by 34 -34.0
12/29 Home NC Central -23.5 W by 23 -0.5
01/03 Home Illinois +14.5 L by 8 +6.5
01/06 Home Michigan +24.0 L by 2 +22.0
01/10 Away Purdue +22.5 L by 8 +14.5
01/14 Home UCLA +4.5 L by 11 -6.5
01/18 Away Maryland +1.5 L by 23 -21.5
01/22 Home Wisconsin +5.5 L by 27 -21.5
01/26 Away Ohio St +11.5 L by 6 +5.5
01/29 Away Northwestern +7.0 L by 21 -14.0
02/01 Home Minnesota +1.0 W by 2 +3.0
02/05 Away Michigan +26.5 L by 41 -14.5
02/08 Home USC +3.0 L by 2 +1.0
02/11 Away Washington +12.5 W by 3 +15.5
02/14 Away Oregon +6.0 L by 11 -5.0
02/18 Home Rutgers -5.0 L by 13 -18.0
02/21 Away Nebraska +19.0 L by 23 -4.0
02/28 Home Iowa +9.5 W by 2 +11.5
03/04 Home Ohio St +6.5 L by 32 -25.5
03/08 Away Rutgers +3.5 L by 12 -8.5
03/10 Neutral Northwestern +4.5 L by 10 -5.5

Michigan Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Home Oakland -24.5 W by 43 +18.5
11/11 Neutral Wake Forest -15.0 W by 1 -14.0
11/14 Away TCU -7.5 W by 4 -3.5
11/19 Home Middle Tenn -28.0 W by 25 -3.0
11/24 Neutral San Diego St -5.5 W by 40 +34.5
11/25 Neutral Auburn -5.0 W by 30 +25.0
11/26 Neutral Gonzaga +2.5 W by 40 +42.5
12/06 Home Rutgers -25.5 W by 41 +15.5
12/09 Home Villanova -18.0 W by 28 +10.0
12/13 Away Maryland -19.5 W by 18 -1.5
12/21 Home La Salle -40.5 W by 52 +11.5
12/29 Home McNeese -24.0 W by 41 +17.0
01/02 Home USC -22.5 W by 30 +7.5
01/06 Away Penn St -24.0 W by 2 -22.0
01/10 Home Wisconsin -19.0 L by 3 -22.0
01/14 Away Washington -12.5 W by 10 -2.5
01/17 Away Oregon -18.5 W by 10 -8.5
01/20 Home Indiana -15.5 W by 14 -1.5
01/23 Home Ohio St -16.5 W by 12 -4.5
01/27 Home Nebraska -12.0 W by 3 -9.0
01/30 Away Michigan St -2.5 W by 12 +9.5
02/05 Home Penn St -26.5 W by 41 +14.5
02/08 Away Ohio St -9.5 W by 21 +11.5
02/11 Away Northwestern -15.0 W by 12 -3.0
02/14 Home UCLA -16.5 W by 30 +13.5
02/17 Away Purdue -2.5 W by 11 +8.5
02/21 Neutral Duke -2.5 L by 5 -7.5
02/24 Home Minnesota -21.5 W by 10 -11.5
02/27 Away Illinois -1.5 W by 14 +12.5
03/05 Away Iowa -9.5 W by 3 -6.5
03/08 Home Michigan St -10.5 W by 10 -0.5
03/13 Neutral Ohio St -12.5 W by 4 -8.5
03/14 Neutral Wisconsin -12.5 W by 3 -9.5
03/15 Neutral Purdue -4.5 L by 8 -12.5