This section is showing information that is up to date as of the end of the 2023-24 NCAA Basketball season. To join our email list and get notified when we launch the 2024-25 NCAA Basketball section, register for a free account.

Cal Poly at USC: Box Score Simulation

Saturday Nov 19, 2011 4:00 pm - Los Angeles, CA
Odds: Southern California by 9, Total Points: 113.5

Matchup Menu: CP @ USC

More Games From Nov 19, 2011

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring CP USC
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting CP USC
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 56.0 55.9
Field Goal % 35.3% 49.6%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 35.2 39.1
2 Point Shooting % 36.0% 54.9%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 20.8 16.7
3 Point Shooting % 34.1% 37.4%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 16.7 25.6
Free Throw % 70.9% 69.5%
Ball Control CP USC
Rebounds 29.3 41.7
Rebounds - Defensive 21.1 30.0
Rebounds - Offensive 8.2 11.6
Turnovers 13.5 10.7
Blocked Shots 2.9 5.7
Steals 4.9 7.7
Fouls 17.2 14.6

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CP USC
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with CP USC
2 Point Attempt 43.3% 46.8%
3 Point Attempt 25.6% 20.0%
Player Fouled 20.5% 24.3%
Turnover 19.0% 15.1%
Opponent Steal 10.9% 7.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken CP USC
Shot Blocked 10.4% 5.3%
Offensive Rebound 21.4% 35.6%