Cal Poly at CS Bakersfield: Box Score Simulation

Thursday Jan 30, 2025 9:30 pm - Bakersfield, CA
Odds: Cal State Bakersfield by 4, Total Points: 160

Matchup Menu: CP @ CSB

More Games From Jan 30, 2025

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring CP CSB
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting CP CSB
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 58.8 62.9
Field Goal % 45.8% 42.9%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 26.9 43.9
2 Point Shooting % 54.3% 48.8%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 31.8 19.0
3 Point Shooting % 38.5% 29.2%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 27.6 25.7
Free Throw % 80.2% 74.1%
Ball Control CP CSB
Rebounds 39.1 35.5
Rebounds - Defensive 27.9 23.5
Rebounds - Offensive 11.2 11.9
Turnovers 14.4 11.7
Blocked Shots 2.3 4.1
Steals 6.0 7.2
Fouls 17.8 19.6

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.6 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CP CSB
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with CP CSB
2 Point Attempt 29.3% 47.8%
3 Point Attempt 34.6% 20.7%
Player Fouled 24.9% 22.5%
Turnover 18.2% 14.9%
Opponent Steal 9.1% 7.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken CP CSB
Shot Blocked 6.7% 4.0%
Offensive Rebound 32.2% 30.0%