This section is showing information that is up to date as of the end of the 2023-24 NCAA Basketball season. To join our email list and get notified when we launch the 2024-25 NCAA Basketball section, register for a free account.

S Methodist at TX El Paso: Box Score Simulation

Saturday Jan 14, 2012 9:00 pm - El Paso, TX
Odds: Texas-El Paso by 6, Total Points: 115

Matchup Menu: SMU @ UTEP

More Games From Jan 14, 2012

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring SMU UTEP
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting SMU UTEP
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 54.2 54.3
Field Goal % 48.9% 40.5%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 37.3 37.7
2 Point Shooting % 56.1% 44.6%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 16.9 16.5
3 Point Shooting % 32.8% 31.2%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 25.2 22.7
Free Throw % 68.6% 68.0%
Ball Control SMU UTEP
Rebounds 38.0 30.3
Rebounds - Defensive 25.1 19.4
Rebounds - Offensive 12.9 10.9
Turnovers 14.5 14.9
Blocked Shots 5.6 3.4
Steals 8.8 9.9
Fouls 16.5 16.2

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.8 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SMU UTEP
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with SMU UTEP
2 Point Attempt 43.1% 44.1%
3 Point Attempt 19.5% 19.3%
Player Fouled 22.4% 22.8%
Turnover 20.1% 20.7%
Opponent Steal 13.7% 12.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken SMU UTEP
Shot Blocked 6.4% 10.5%
Offensive Rebound 40.0% 30.3%