S Methodist vs. W Kentucky: Box Score Simulation

Friday Nov 24, 2017 7:00 pm - Nassau, (Neutral Site)
Odds: Southern Methodist by 10, Total Points: 136

More Games From Nov 24, 2017

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring SMU WKU
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting SMU WKU
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 64.7 61.6
Field Goal % 45.0% 43.0%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 40.1 41.9
2 Point Shooting % 51.8% 47.7%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 24.6 19.7
3 Point Shooting % 33.9% 33.1%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 21.5 19.3
Free Throw % 68.6% 72.7%
Ball Control SMU WKU
Rebounds 39.7 36.8
Rebounds - Defensive 26.9 26.4
Rebounds - Offensive 12.8 10.4
Turnovers 10.5 13.2
Blocked Shots 6.5 4.2
Steals 8.0 6.7
Fouls 15.4 14.7

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SMU WKU
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with SMU WKU
2 Point Attempt 44.6% 47.3%
3 Point Attempt 27.3% 22.2%
Player Fouled 19.5% 20.3%
Turnover 13.9% 17.5%
Opponent Steal 8.8% 10.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken SMU WKU
Shot Blocked 7.0% 10.3%
Offensive Rebound 32.6% 27.8%