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SMU vs. Louisville: Recap

Wednesday Mar 11, 2026 2:30 pm - Charlotte, NC (Neutral Site)
Odds: Louisville by 6.5, Total Points: 164.5

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Louisville SMU 28.1%
LOU 71.9%
ATS Pick Confidence Projection
LOU -6.5 SMU 49.6%
LOU 50.4%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Under 164.5 Over 45.2%
Under 54.8%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
Lay Off SMU -2.7%
LOU -1.4%
Final Score Projection Vegas Implied Actual
SMU 77.8 79.0 58
LOU 84.4 85.5 62

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat SMU LOU
Points/Game 84.1 84.3
Avg Score Margin +6.1 +11.7
Assists/Game 16.9 17.1
Total Rebounds/Gm 37.6 38.3
Effective FG % 55.6% 56.5%
Off Rebound % 32.8% 31.6%
FTA/FGA 0.304 0.331
Turnover % 13.3% 14.5%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat SMU LOU
Opp Points/Game 77.9 72.5
Opp Effective FG % 51.6% 48.7%
Off Rebounds/Gm 10.3 10.1
Def Rebounds/Gm 23.9 25.9
Blocks/Game 3.6 3.3
Steals/Game 7.0 6.8
Personal Fouls/Gm 17.0 18.5