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Wednesday Mar 11, 2026 2:30 pm -
Charlotte, NC
(Neutral Site)
Odds:
Louisville by 6.5,
Total Points:
164.5
| Game Winner Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisville | SMU | 28.1% | ||
| LOU | 71.9% | |||
| ATS Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LOU -6.5 | SMU | 49.6% | ||
| LOU | 50.4% | |||
| Totals Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 164.5 | Over | 45.2% | ||
| Under | 54.8% | |||
| Money Line Value Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lay Off | SMU | -2.7% | ||
| LOU | -1.4% | |||
| Final Score Projection | Vegas Implied | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMU | 77.8 | 79.0 | 58 |
| LOU | 84.4 | 85.5 | 62 |
| Stat | SMU | LOU |
|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 84.1 | 84.3 |
| Avg Score Margin | +6.1 | +11.7 |
| Assists/Game | 16.9 | 17.1 |
| Total Rebounds/Gm | 37.6 | 38.3 |
| Effective FG % | 55.6% | 56.5% |
| Off Rebound % | 32.8% | 31.6% |
| FTA/FGA | 0.304 | 0.331 |
| Turnover % | 13.3% | 14.5% |
| Stat | SMU | LOU |
|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 77.9 | 72.5 |
| Opp Effective FG % | 51.6% | 48.7% |
| Off Rebounds/Gm | 10.3 | 10.1 |
| Def Rebounds/Gm | 23.9 | 25.9 |
| Blocks/Game | 3.6 | 3.3 |
| Steals/Game | 7.0 | 6.8 |
| Personal Fouls/Gm | 17.0 | 18.5 |
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