SMU at Mississippi St: Recap

Friday Nov 28, 2025 7:00 pm - Starkville, MS
Odds: Mississippi State by 1, Total Points: 162.5

Matchup Menu: SMU @ MSST

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Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Mississippi St SMU 49.7%
MSST 50.3%
ATS Pick Confidence Projection
MSST +1.5 SMU 46.7%
MSST 53.3%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Over 163.0 Over 53.0%
Under 47.0%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
MSST +100 SMU -4.8%
MSST +0.3%
Final Score Projection Vegas Implied Actual
SMU 81.9 82.2 87
MSST 82.5 80.8 81

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat SMU MSST
Points/Game 84.2 77.6
Avg Score Margin +6.6 -4.2
Assists/Game 16.9 12.8
Total Rebounds/Gm 37.7 38.2
Effective FG % 55.7% 51.5%
Off Rebound % 32.8% 27.7%
FTA/FGA 0.306 0.307
Turnover % 13.5% 13.9%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat SMU MSST
Opp Points/Game 77.6 81.8
Opp Effective FG % 51.4% 50.9%
Off Rebounds/Gm 10.3 9.7
Def Rebounds/Gm 24.0 25.5
Blocks/Game 3.6 4.4
Steals/Game 7.1 5.8
Personal Fouls/Gm 16.9 16.1