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Xavier at UConn: Box Score Simulation

Wednesday Dec 18, 2024 7:00 pm - Hartford, CT
Odds: Connecticut by 13.5, Total Points: 146.5

Matchup Menu: XAV @ CONN

More Games From Dec 18, 2024

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring XAV CONN
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting XAV CONN
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 51.4 56.1
Field Goal % 40.9% 49.7%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 34.6 33.3
2 Point Shooting % 41.9% 59.5%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 16.8 22.8
3 Point Shooting % 38.7% 35.5%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 26.6 16.4
Free Throw % 78.7% 77.8%
Ball Control XAV CONN
Rebounds 27.5 35.6
Rebounds - Defensive 21.6 26.9
Rebounds - Offensive 5.9 8.6
Turnovers 8.8 10.7
Blocked Shots 2.0 6.4
Steals 5.9 4.3
Fouls 13.7 18.1

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats XAV CONN
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with XAV CONN
2 Point Attempt 44.8% 42.6%
3 Point Attempt 21.8% 29.2%
Player Fouled 26.5% 20.0%
Turnover 12.8% 15.7%
Opponent Steal 6.3% 8.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken XAV CONN
Shot Blocked 11.6% 4.1%
Offensive Rebound 18.0% 28.6%