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App State at Chattanooga: Box Score Simulation

Saturday Jan 7, 2012 7:00 pm - Chattanooga, TN
Odds: Chattanooga by 6, Total Points: 137.5

More Games From Jan 7, 2012

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting APST CHAT
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 58.9 60.8
Field Goal % 46.5% 46.9%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 37.8 37.5
2 Point Shooting % 52.0% 51.7%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 21.1 23.3
3 Point Shooting % 36.7% 39.2%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 21.9 13.6
Free Throw % 72.8% 66.4%
Ball Control APST CHAT
Rebounds 35.5 34.3
Rebounds - Defensive 26.9 26.4
Rebounds - Offensive 8.6 8.0
Turnovers 9.2 11.5
Blocked Shots 2.4 2.0
Steals 5.1 3.9
Fouls 14.1 17.7

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats APST CHAT
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with APST CHAT
2 Point Attempt 45.9% 45.8%
3 Point Attempt 25.6% 28.5%
Player Fouled 24.2% 19.4%
Turnover 12.6% 15.8%
Opponent Steal 5.4% 7.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken APST CHAT
Shot Blocked 3.4% 4.1%
Offensive Rebound 24.6% 22.9%