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W Virginia at TX Christian: Box Score Simulation

Monday Feb 12, 2024 8:00 pm - Fort Worth, TX
Odds: Texas Christian by 13, Total Points: 152.5

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring WVU TCU
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting WVU TCU
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 53.1 62.5
Field Goal % 46.3% 46.8%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 33.7 40.0
2 Point Shooting % 52.2% 51.6%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 19.4 22.5
3 Point Shooting % 35.9% 38.1%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 22.2 20.6
Free Throw % 70.4% 72.7%
Ball Control WVU TCU
Rebounds 31.3 37.1
Rebounds - Defensive 23.9 24.7
Rebounds - Offensive 7.4 12.4
Turnovers 13.8 9.9
Blocked Shots 3.4 4.2
Steals 4.1 9.0
Fouls 14.0 16.9

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WVU TCU
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with WVU TCU
2 Point Attempt 41.2% 46.2%
3 Point Attempt 23.7% 26.0%
Player Fouled 23.3% 19.3%
Turnover 19.0% 13.6%
Opponent Steal 12.3% 5.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken WVU TCU
Shot Blocked 6.8% 6.5%
Offensive Rebound 23.1% 34.2%