Mt St Marys at Morgan St: Box Score Simulation

Wednesday Nov 25, 2020 12:00 pm - Baltimore, MD
Odds: Mount St. Mary's by 10, Total Points: 150.5

More Games From Nov 25, 2020

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring MSM MORG
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting MSM MORG
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 55.7 60.2
Field Goal % 39.8% 38.2%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 31.1 39.3
2 Point Shooting % 46.5% 41.2%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 24.6 20.9
3 Point Shooting % 31.3% 32.7%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 19.7 16.9
Free Throw % 70.1% 74.0%
Ball Control MSM MORG
Rebounds 40.5 35.0
Rebounds - Defensive 29.1 25.2
Rebounds - Offensive 11.4 9.9
Turnovers 14.3 11.0
Blocked Shots 5.1 4.4
Steals 4.6 6.0
Fouls 14.2 18.9

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MSM MORG
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with MSM MORG
2 Point Attempt 36.8% 47.3%
3 Point Attempt 29.2% 25.1%
Player Fouled 26.5% 20.0%
Turnover 20.0% 15.5%
Opponent Steal 8.5% 6.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken MSM MORG
Shot Blocked 7.4% 9.4%
Offensive Rebound 31.2% 25.4%