TX El Paso vs. Kansas St: Box Score Simulation

Friday Dec 23, 2011 5:00 pm - Honolulu, HI (Neutral Site)
Odds: Kansas State by 11, Total Points: 126.5

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring UTEP KSU
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting UTEP KSU
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 55.4 52.4
Field Goal % 43.0% 53.0%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 31.9 37.2
2 Point Shooting % 48.6% 60.8%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 23.5 15.1
3 Point Shooting % 35.3% 34.0%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 17.7 16.8
Free Throw % 73.7% 66.1%
Ball Control UTEP KSU
Rebounds 27.9 34.1
Rebounds - Defensive 18.9 25.0
Rebounds - Offensive 9.1 9.1
Turnovers 8.8 11.8
Blocked Shots 2.0 2.4
Steals 6.3 3.4
Fouls 13.8 14.2

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UTEP KSU
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with UTEP KSU
2 Point Attempt 41.9% 49.1%
3 Point Attempt 30.9% 19.9%
Player Fouled 21.6% 20.9%
Turnover 13.3% 17.8%
Opponent Steal 5.2% 9.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken UTEP KSU
Shot Blocked 4.5% 3.7%
Offensive Rebound 26.6% 32.4%