This section is showing information that is up to date as of the end of the 2023-24 NCAA Basketball season. To join our email list and get notified when we launch the 2024-25 NCAA Basketball section, register for a free account.

Navy at Boston U: Box Score Simulation

Sunday Jan 16, 2022 1:00 pm - Boston, MA
Odds: Navy by 1.5, Total Points: 128

Matchup Menu: NAVY @ BU

More Games From Jan 16, 2022

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring NAVY BU
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting NAVY BU
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 54.0 52.4
Field Goal % 38.5% 44.4%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 35.3 30.6
2 Point Shooting % 41.7% 52.2%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 18.7 21.8
3 Point Shooting % 32.4% 33.6%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 22.5 18.5
Free Throw % 71.0% 72.2%
Ball Control NAVY BU
Rebounds 32.4 36.2
Rebounds - Defensive 22.9 27.0
Rebounds - Offensive 9.5 9.2
Turnovers 9.0 11.5
Blocked Shots 2.0 4.4
Steals 5.5 4.5
Fouls 15.5 17.1

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NAVY BU
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with NAVY BU
2 Point Attempt 45.3% 39.9%
3 Point Attempt 24.0% 28.5%
Player Fouled 25.7% 23.3%
Turnover 13.5% 17.2%
Opponent Steal 6.8% 8.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken NAVY BU
Shot Blocked 8.4% 3.8%
Offensive Rebound 26.0% 28.7%