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TX-Arlington at UCSB: Box Score Simulation

Monday Nov 29, 2021 9:00 pm - Santa Barbara, CA
Odds: UC Santa Barbara by 12, Total Points: 136.5

Matchup Menu: UTA @ UCSB

More Games From Nov 29, 2021

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring UTA UCSB
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting UTA UCSB
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 58.2 51.1
Field Goal % 46.0% 45.5%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 33.0 35.7
2 Point Shooting % 54.6% 50.3%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 25.2 15.4
3 Point Shooting % 34.8% 34.4%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 22.8 25.9
Free Throw % 73.6% 75.0%
Ball Control UTA UCSB
Rebounds 34.1 32.1
Rebounds - Defensive 24.2 24.9
Rebounds - Offensive 10.0 7.2
Turnovers 10.9 13.8
Blocked Shots 3.5 2.6
Steals 7.2 5.1
Fouls 19.3 17.6

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UTA UCSB
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with UTA UCSB
2 Point Attempt 39.1% 43.5%
3 Point Attempt 29.9% 18.8%
Player Fouled 24.0% 26.3%
Turnover 14.9% 18.9%
Opponent Steal 6.9% 9.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken UTA UCSB
Shot Blocked 5.1% 6.1%
Offensive Rebound 28.6% 23.0%