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Cal St Nrdge at Auburn: Box Score Simulation

Friday Nov 15, 2019 7:00 pm - Auburn, AL
Odds: Auburn by 23, Total Points: 155

Matchup Menu: CSN @ AUB

More Games From Nov 15, 2019

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring CSN AUB
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting CSN AUB
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 57.8 58.2
Field Goal % 33.8% 46.7%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 44.4 32.2
2 Point Shooting % 35.8% 55.5%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 13.4 26.0
3 Point Shooting % 27.1% 35.8%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 27.2 29.7
Free Throw % 67.7% 74.8%
Ball Control CSN AUB
Rebounds 36.6 41.3
Rebounds - Defensive 24.7 30.6
Rebounds - Offensive 11.9 10.8
Turnovers 13.9 10.1
Blocked Shots 2.4 7.1
Steals 6.1 8.3
Fouls 21.3 18.4

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CSN AUB
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with CSN AUB
2 Point Attempt 49.0% 36.8%
3 Point Attempt 14.8% 29.7%
Player Fouled 24.2% 28.0%
Turnover 18.3% 13.3%
Opponent Steal 11.0% 8.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken CSN AUB
Shot Blocked 12.4% 4.2%
Offensive Rebound 28.1% 30.4%