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Cal St Nrdge at WI-Grn Bay: Box Score Simulation

Monday Nov 25, 2019 8:00 pm - Green Bay, WI
Odds: Green Bay by 9.5, Total Points: 161.5

Matchup Menu: CSN @ WIGB

More Games From Nov 25, 2019

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring CSN WIGB
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting CSN WIGB
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 57.1 55.9
Field Goal % 48.0% 39.5%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 42.3 23.3
2 Point Shooting % 54.7% 49.2%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 14.8 32.7
3 Point Shooting % 29.1% 32.6%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 23.3 20.9
Free Throw % 67.7% 71.5%
Ball Control CSN WIGB
Rebounds 38.7 32.3
Rebounds - Defensive 28.8 24.3
Rebounds - Offensive 9.8 8.0
Turnovers 9.9 11.5
Blocked Shots 4.3 2.1
Steals 6.1 4.9
Fouls 18.1 17.7

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +1.0 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CSN WIGB
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with CSN WIGB
2 Point Attempt 51.4% 28.6%
3 Point Attempt 18.0% 40.1%
Player Fouled 24.7% 25.3%
Turnover 13.8% 16.0%
Opponent Steal 6.8% 8.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken CSN WIGB
Shot Blocked 3.7% 7.6%
Offensive Rebound 28.7% 21.7%