Cal St Nrdge at Drake: Box Score Simulation

Saturday Nov 26, 2011 8:05 pm - Des Moines, IA
Odds: Drake by 15, Total Points: 144

More Games From Nov 26, 2011

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring CSN DRKE
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting CSN DRKE
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 57.9 58.2
Field Goal % 44.4% 44.7%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 42.5 30.5
2 Point Shooting % 49.5% 52.7%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 15.4 27.7
3 Point Shooting % 30.2% 36.0%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 20.4 25.7
Free Throw % 67.7% 74.8%
Ball Control CSN DRKE
Rebounds 37.0 35.0
Rebounds - Defensive 28.2 27.3
Rebounds - Offensive 8.8 7.7
Turnovers 13.1 9.3
Blocked Shots 2.5 1.8
Steals 5.6 7.2
Fouls 19.8 16.4

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CSN DRKE
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with CSN DRKE
2 Point Attempt 50.1% 36.4%
3 Point Attempt 18.2% 33.0%
Player Fouled 21.8% 26.3%
Turnover 17.4% 12.4%
Opponent Steal 9.6% 7.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken CSN DRKE
Shot Blocked 3.2% 4.4%
Offensive Rebound 24.4% 21.4%