IPFW at Purdue : Box Score Simulation

Tuesday Dec 20, 2011 6:30 pm - West Lafayette, IN
Odds: Purdue by 19.5, Total Points: 140

More Games From Dec 20, 2011

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring IPFW PURD
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting IPFW PURD
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 60.0 61.3
Field Goal % 35.8% 48.7%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 36.7 38.7
2 Point Shooting % 37.4% 55.6%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 23.3 22.6
3 Point Shooting % 33.3% 36.7%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 15.7 20.4
Free Throw % 71.0% 73.2%
Ball Control IPFW PURD
Rebounds 30.1 44.9
Rebounds - Defensive 23.9 34.3
Rebounds - Offensive 6.2 10.6
Turnovers 9.8 8.9
Blocked Shots 2.3 5.0
Steals 4.5 4.5
Fouls 17.3 15.8

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats IPFW PURD
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with IPFW PURD
2 Point Attempt 45.7% 46.2%
3 Point Attempt 29.0% 27.0%
Player Fouled 22.0% 24.0%
Turnover 13.6% 12.4%
Opponent Steal 6.3% 6.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken IPFW PURD
Shot Blocked 8.2% 4.0%
Offensive Rebound 15.2% 30.7%