SF Austin at Pepperdine: Box Score Simulation

Friday Nov 21, 2025 9:00 pm - Malibu, CA
Odds: Stephen F. Austin by 1.5, Total Points: 148.5

Matchup Menu: SFA @ PEPP

More Games From Nov 21, 2025

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring SFA PEPP
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting SFA PEPP
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 66.3 57.1
Field Goal % 45.5% 43.8%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 39.8 36.2
2 Point Shooting % 50.8% 51.5%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 26.6 20.9
3 Point Shooting % 37.6% 30.5%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 16.5 17.3
Free Throw % 69.8% 76.1%
Ball Control SFA PEPP
Rebounds 39.0 33.7
Rebounds - Defensive 25.5 25.1
Rebounds - Offensive 13.6 8.6
Turnovers 7.3 11.3
Blocked Shots 4.1 3.1
Steals 7.5 3.4
Fouls 15.4 11.6

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SFA PEPP
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with SFA PEPP
2 Point Attempt 46.8% 45.1%
3 Point Attempt 31.3% 26.0%
Player Fouled 16.5% 21.9%
Turnover 10.4% 16.1%
Opponent Steal 4.9% 10.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken SFA PEPP
Shot Blocked 5.6% 6.3%
Offensive Rebound 35.1% 25.1%