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N Arizona at Sac State: Box Score Simulation

Saturday Jan 28, 2012 10:05 pm - Sacramento, CA
Odds: Sacramento State by 4, Total Points: 136

More Games From Jan 28, 2012

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting NOAZ SAST
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 53.7 58.1
Field Goal % 44.3% 46.6%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 31.9 38.4
2 Point Shooting % 49.2% 53.0%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 21.8 19.8
3 Point Shooting % 37.2% 34.1%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 20.8 18.2
Free Throw % 70.8% 72.0%
Ball Control NOAZ SAST
Rebounds 32.6 34.6
Rebounds - Defensive 24.9 25.5
Rebounds - Offensive 7.7 9.1
Turnovers 12.8 10.9
Blocked Shots 2.0 3.2
Steals 6.2 6.7
Fouls 16.5 16.4

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NOAZ SAST
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with NOAZ SAST
2 Point Attempt 39.7% 47.1%
3 Point Attempt 27.0% 24.3%
Player Fouled 22.9% 23.1%
Turnover 17.9% 15.3%
Opponent Steal 9.4% 8.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken NOAZ SAST
Shot Blocked 5.6% 3.8%
Offensive Rebound 23.2% 26.7%