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Texas vs. Iowa State

  Thursday Mar 8, 2012 - 9:30 pm - Kansas City, MO (Neutral Site) | Odds: Texas by 1.5, Total Points: 138 | Team Pages: TEX | IAST

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring TEX IAST
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view

Shooting TEX IAST
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 60.6 59.0
Field Goal % 41.2% 39.3%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 39.0 39.8
2 Point Shooting % 44.8% 39.4%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 21.6 19.2
3 Point Shooting % 34.9% 39.0%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 14.1 20.4
Free Throw % 72.3% 69.4%

Ball Control TEX IAST
Rebounds 42.6 33.6
Rebounds - Defensive 30.4 25.4
Rebounds - Offensive 12.1 8.1
Turnovers 10.8 6.9
Blocked Shots 6.0 3.1
Steals 3.0 5.4
Fouls 14.9 12.9

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TEX IAST
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view

% of Possessions with TEX IAST
2 Point Attempt 47.6% 50.3%
3 Point Attempt 26.4% 24.3%
Player Fouled 18.8% 21.7%
Turnover 15.7% 10.0%
Opponent Steal 7.9% 4.4%

Odds Per Shot Taken TEX IAST
Shot Blocked 5.4% 10.0%
Offensive Rebound 32.3% 21.1%