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New Mexico at San Jose St: Box Score Simulation

Wednesday Jan 1, 2020 10:00 pm - San Jose, CA
Odds: New Mexico by 10, Total Points: 153

Matchup Menu: UNM @ SJSU

More Games From Jan 1, 2020

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring UNM SJSU
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting UNM SJSU
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 62.2 59.2
Field Goal % 48.6% 41.3%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 44.4 35.2
2 Point Shooting % 52.9% 48.4%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 17.8 24.0
3 Point Shooting % 37.7% 30.8%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 22.1 12.7
Free Throw % 72.3% 68.6%
Ball Control UNM SJSU
Rebounds 42.3 29.4
Rebounds - Defensive 29.8 22.8
Rebounds - Offensive 12.4 6.6
Turnovers 7.8 11.1
Blocked Shots 4.9 3.7
Steals 5.8 4.1
Fouls 12.5 14.8

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UNM SJSU
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with UNM SJSU
2 Point Attempt 52.5% 44.4%
3 Point Attempt 21.0% 30.3%
Player Fouled 21.0% 17.7%
Turnover 11.0% 15.7%
Opponent Steal 5.8% 8.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken UNM SJSU
Shot Blocked 6.3% 7.9%
Offensive Rebound 35.3% 18.0%