Loyola Mymt at Florida St: Box Score Simulation

Sunday Dec 18, 2011 3:00 pm - Tallahassee, FL
Odds: Florida State by 15, Total Points: 132.5

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring LMU FSU
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting LMU FSU
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 57.2 58.9
Field Goal % 42.3% 48.0%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 35.3 43.1
2 Point Shooting % 46.5% 53.5%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 21.9 15.8
3 Point Shooting % 35.5% 32.9%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 18.9 22.0
Free Throw % 73.7% 70.5%
Ball Control LMU FSU
Rebounds 36.6 33.1
Rebounds - Defensive 25.0 23.7
Rebounds - Offensive 11.5 9.4
Turnovers 12.4 6.9
Blocked Shots 2.1 5.2
Steals 2.7 7.1
Fouls 16.3 14.8

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LMU FSU
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with LMU FSU
2 Point Attempt 42.3% 53.9%
3 Point Attempt 26.3% 19.8%
Player Fouled 21.2% 23.4%
Turnover 17.8% 9.9%
Opponent Steal 10.2% 3.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken LMU FSU
Shot Blocked 8.9% 3.8%
Offensive Rebound 32.7% 27.2%