Loyola Mymt at Gonzaga: Box Score Simulation

Thursday Feb 6, 2020 11:00 pm - Spokane, WA
Odds: Gonzaga by 25, Total Points: 140.5

More Games From Feb 6, 2020

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring LMU GONZ
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting LMU GONZ
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 52.1 56.7
Field Goal % 41.9% 54.0%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 34.0 42.5
2 Point Shooting % 49.5% 59.8%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 18.1 14.2
3 Point Shooting % 27.7% 36.5%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 21.1 23.8
Free Throw % 70.9% 72.5%
Ball Control LMU GONZ
Rebounds 31.9 31.7
Rebounds - Defensive 23.6 25.4
Rebounds - Offensive 8.3 6.3
Turnovers 19.1 11.9
Blocked Shots 2.8 3.6
Steals 4.5 8.3
Fouls 21.0 17.4

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LMU GONZ
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with LMU GONZ
2 Point Attempt 39.5% 50.6%
3 Point Attempt 21.0% 16.9%
Player Fouled 22.8% 27.4%
Turnover 25.0% 15.5%
Opponent Steal 10.9% 5.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken LMU GONZ
Shot Blocked 6.4% 5.5%
Offensive Rebound 24.6% 21.1%