Columbia at Bryant: Box Score Simulation

Friday Dec 6, 2019 7:00 pm - Smithfield, RI
Odds: Bryant by 2.5, Total Points: 145

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring CLMB BRY
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting CLMB BRY
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 64.2 61.7
Field Goal % 38.7% 48.3%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 39.9 36.6
2 Point Shooting % 40.8% 58.1%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 24.3 25.1
3 Point Shooting % 35.2% 34.0%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 20.5 17.2
Free Throw % 71.3% 67.6%
Ball Control CLMB BRY
Rebounds 38.7 38.1
Rebounds - Defensive 27.8 30.8
Rebounds - Offensive 10.9 7.3
Turnovers 11.5 11.2
Blocked Shots 2.2 7.6
Steals 7.4 5.8
Fouls 15.3 13.9

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CLMB BRY
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with CLMB BRY
2 Point Attempt 44.3% 43.4%
3 Point Attempt 27.0% 29.8%
Player Fouled 18.3% 20.1%
Turnover 15.1% 14.7%
Opponent Steal 7.6% 9.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken CLMB BRY
Shot Blocked 12.4% 3.5%
Offensive Rebound 26.1% 20.9%