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Loyola Mymt at Lg Beach St: Box Score Simulation

Saturday Dec 4, 2021 7:00 pm - Long Beach, CA
Odds: Loyola Marymount by 8, Total Points: 148

Matchup Menu: LMU @ LBSU

More Games From Dec 4, 2021

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring LMU LBSU
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting LMU LBSU
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 60.9 62.5
Field Goal % 42.8% 43.9%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 33.2 46.9
2 Point Shooting % 46.1% 48.1%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 27.6 15.6
3 Point Shooting % 38.7% 31.3%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 16.2 20.8
Free Throw % 73.7% 71.5%
Ball Control LMU LBSU
Rebounds 36.5 38.5
Rebounds - Defensive 26.5 26.6
Rebounds - Offensive 10.1 11.9
Turnovers 10.0 6.9
Blocked Shots 2.5 4.8
Steals 3.1 5.6
Fouls 15.7 13.1

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LMU LBSU
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with LMU LBSU
2 Point Attempt 40.4% 56.5%
3 Point Attempt 33.6% 18.7%
Player Fouled 18.7% 22.4%
Turnover 14.2% 9.9%
Opponent Steal 8.0% 4.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken LMU LBSU
Shot Blocked 7.8% 4.1%
Offensive Rebound 27.5% 31.1%