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Lafayette at Holy Cross: Box Score Simulation

Saturday Jan 12, 2019 3:05 pm - Worcester, MA
Odds: Holy Cross by 11, Total Points: 137

Matchup Menu: LAF @ HC

More Games From Jan 12, 2019

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAF HC
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting LAF HC
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 58.3 55.2
Field Goal % 42.5% 41.2%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 34.4 34.8
2 Point Shooting % 46.3% 43.9%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 23.9 20.4
3 Point Shooting % 37.1% 36.4%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 14.2 15.1
Free Throw % 68.2% 66.3%
Ball Control LAF HC
Rebounds 35.1 35.6
Rebounds - Defensive 27.4 28.0
Rebounds - Offensive 7.7 7.5
Turnovers 7.1 9.5
Blocked Shots 4.1 3.4
Steals 5.8 3.4
Fouls 12.7 13.1

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAF HC
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with LAF HC
2 Point Attempt 45.9% 46.4%
3 Point Attempt 32.0% 27.2%
Player Fouled 19.8% 19.3%
Turnover 10.8% 14.4%
Opponent Steal 5.2% 8.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken LAF HC
Shot Blocked 6.3% 7.1%
Offensive Rebound 21.5% 21.6%