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W Illinois at Oral Roberts: Box Score Simulation

Saturday Feb 11, 2012 8:05 pm - Tulsa, OK
Odds: Oral Roberts by 12, Total Points: 120.5

Matchup Menu: WIU @ ORU

More Games From Feb 11, 2012

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring WIU ORU
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting WIU ORU
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 61.8 61.6
Field Goal % 40.5% 40.3%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 43.9 39.7
2 Point Shooting % 43.1% 43.7%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 17.9 21.9
3 Point Shooting % 34.2% 34.1%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 19.9 13.5
Free Throw % 62.4% 77.1%
Ball Control WIU ORU
Rebounds 46.0 32.7
Rebounds - Defensive 30.0 24.9
Rebounds - Offensive 16.0 7.8
Turnovers 9.8 7.6
Blocked Shots 4.7 3.3
Steals 4.0 5.3
Fouls 11.2 14.8

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.8 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WIU ORU
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with WIU ORU
2 Point Attempt 51.1% 50.7%
3 Point Attempt 20.9% 28.0%
Player Fouled 21.6% 16.3%
Turnover 14.2% 11.0%
Opponent Steal 7.8% 5.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken WIU ORU
Shot Blocked 5.5% 7.7%
Offensive Rebound 39.1% 20.7%