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W Illinois at N Dakota St : Point Spread Analysis
Saturday Feb 25, 2012 8:30 pm -
Fargo, ND
Odds:
North Dakota State by 8.5,
Total Points:
118.5
Matchup Menu: WILL @ NDST
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Model | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| W Illinois +8.5 | Official TR Pick | W Illinois 52% odds to cover |
| W Illinois +8.5 | Similar Games | W Illinois 58% odds to cover |
| W Illinois +8.5 | Decision Tree | W Illinois 52% odds to cover |
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | WILL | adv | NDST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 11-12-0 | 11-19-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 7-9-0 | 8-11-0 | |
| Streak | W1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 3-7-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Away | 8-5-0 | 6-14-0 |
W Illinois Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/13 | Away | Wisconsin | +25.5 | W by 2 | +27.5 |
| 11/15 | Home | -- | W by 37 | -- | |
| 11/17 | Home | IL-Chicago | -7.0 | W by 27 | +20.0 |
| 11/21 | Away | E Illinois | -5.5 | W by 20 | +14.5 |
| 11/25 | Home | -- | W by 35 | -- | |
| 11/28 | Away | Creighton | +11.5 | L by 30 | -18.5 |
| 12/02 | Home | -- | W by 35 | -- | |
| 12/07 | Away | Iowa | +18.0 | L by 34 | -16.0 |
| 12/12 | Home | E Illinois | -9.5 | W by 7 | -2.5 |
| 12/19 | Away | Chicago St | -- | L by 7 | -- |
| 12/21 | Away | Loyola-Chi | +7.5 | L by 5 | +2.5 |
| 01/01 | Away | Neb Omaha | +8.0 | L by 2 | +6.0 |
| 01/03 | Away | S Dakota St | +12.5 | L by 4 | +8.5 |
| 01/09 | Home | IUPUI | -6.0 | L by 7 | -13.0 |
| 01/14 | Home | Denver | -5.0 | L by 7 | -12.0 |
| 01/16 | Home | Oral Roberts | (Pick) | L by 9 | -9.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | South Dakota | +4.0 | L by 9 | -5.0 |
| 01/23 | Home | N Dakota St | +2.0 | L by 13 | -11.0 |
| 01/29 | Away | IUPUI | +6.5 | L by 2 | +4.5 |
| 01/31 | Away | IPFW | +6.5 | L by 21 | -14.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Neb Omaha | +4.5 | W by 7 | +11.5 |
| 02/11 | Away | Denver | +4.5 | W by 3 | +7.5 |
| 02/13 | Away | Oral Roberts | +6.5 | L by 6 | +0.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | N Dakota St | +7.5 | L by 9 | -1.5 |
| 02/20 | Home | S Dakota St | +7.5 | L by 20 | -12.5 |
| 02/25 | Home | IPFW | +3.5 | L by 12 | -8.5 |
| 02/27 | Home | South Dakota | +1.5 | W by 14 | +15.5 |
N Dakota St Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/13 | Away | UC Davis | -3.0 | W by 8 | +5.0 |
| 11/15 | Away | Illinois | +5.5 | L by 6 | -0.5 |
| 11/18 | Home | -- | W by 20 | -- | |
| 11/25 | Home | Montana | -7.0 | W by 20 | +13.0 |
| 11/28 | Home | NC A&T | -- | W by 21 | -- |
| 12/01 | Away | Iowa State | +15.5 | L by 20 | -4.5 |
| 12/04 | Away | Arkansas St | -5.0 | W by 1 | -4.0 |
| 12/06 | Away | S Mississippi | -12.5 | L by 12 | -24.5 |
| 12/11 | Away | North Dakota | -7.5 | W by 2 | -5.5 |
| 12/16 | Home | Montana St | -13.0 | W by 9 | -4.0 |
| 12/21 | Neutral | Idaho State | -16.0 | W by 5 | -11.0 |
| 12/22 | Neutral | TX-Pan Am | -17.0 | W by 18 | +1.0 |
| 12/23 | Away | Utah State | +6.0 | L by 14 | -8.0 |
| 12/30 | Home | -- | W by 58 | -- | |
| 01/03 | Home | Denver | -8.0 | W by 26 | +18.0 |
| 01/07 | Home | Neb Omaha | -6.0 | L by 9 | -15.0 |
| 01/09 | Away | Oral Roberts | +2.5 | L by 1 | +1.5 |
| 01/13 | Home | South Dakota | -7.5 | W by 1 | -6.5 |
| 01/16 | Home | S Dakota St | +1.5 | W by 11 | +12.5 |
| 01/21 | Away | IPFW | +1.5 | L by 5 | -3.5 |
| 01/23 | Away | W Illinois | -2.0 | W by 13 | +11.0 |
| 01/31 | Away | IUPUI | (Pick) | L by 1 | -1.0 |
| 02/04 | Home | Oral Roberts | -6.5 | W by 4 | -2.5 |
| 02/06 | Home | IPFW | -4.0 | W by 16 | +12.0 |
| 02/11 | Away | South Dakota | +1.5 | L by 14 | -12.5 |
| 02/13 | Away | Neb Omaha | +4.0 | L by 7 | -3.0 |
| 02/17 | Home | W Illinois | -7.5 | W by 9 | +1.5 |
| 02/20 | Home | IUPUI | -7.5 | W by 4 | -3.5 |
| 02/25 | Away | S Dakota St | +11.5 | L by 12 | -0.5 |
| 02/27 | Away | Denver | +1.0 | L by 11 | -10.0 |
| 03/06 | Neutral | IUPUI | -4.5 | W by 15 | +10.5 |
| 03/07 | Neutral | IPFW | +2.5 | W by 1 | +3.5 |
| 03/08 | Neutral | S Dakota St | +5.5 | L by 8 | -2.5 |