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W Illinois at N Dakota St : Point Spread Analysis
Saturday Feb 25, 2012 8:30 pm -
Fargo, ND
Odds:
North Dakota State by 8.5,
Total Points:
118.5
Matchup Menu: WILL @ NDST
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Model | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| W Illinois +8.5 | Official TR Pick | W Illinois 52% odds to cover |
| W Illinois +8.5 | Similar Games | W Illinois 58% odds to cover |
| W Illinois +8.5 | Decision Tree | W Illinois 52% odds to cover |
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | WILL | adv | NDST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 9-14-1 | 8-16-1 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 8-8-1 | 7-9-1 | |
| Streak | P1 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 2-2-1 | 0-4-1 | |
| Last 10 | 5-4-1 | 3-6-1 | |
| Home | 4-6-0 | 5-6-0 | |
| Away | 5-8-1 | 3-10-1 |
W Illinois Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11 | Away | Kansas St | +18.0 | L by 27 | -9.0 |
| 11/13 | Home | -- | W by 47 | -- | |
| 11/16 | Home | SE Missouri | -10.5 | L by 3 | -13.5 |
| 11/19 | Away | E Illinois | +4.0 | L by 9 | -5.0 |
| 11/23 | Home | -- | W by 38 | -- | |
| 11/26 | Away | Miami (OH) | +4.0 | L by 9 | -5.0 |
| 11/29 | Away | American | -- | L by 7 | -- |
| 12/03 | Home | Chicago St | -- | L by 7 | -- |
| 12/10 | Home | E Illinois | -2.5 | L by 14 | -16.5 |
| 12/17 | Away | WI-Milwkee | +5.5 | W by 16 | +21.5 |
| 12/19 | Away | Purdue | +28.5 | L by 32 | -3.5 |
| 12/29 | Away | IPFW | +14.5 | W by 2 | +16.5 |
| 12/31 | Away | IUPUI | +9.5 | L by 18 | -8.5 |
| 01/04 | Home | S Dakota St | -1.0 | W by 8 | +7.0 |
| 01/07 | Home | Oral Roberts | +1.5 | W by 15 | +16.5 |
| 01/11 | Away | Denver | +7.5 | L by 14 | -6.5 |
| 01/14 | Away | Neb Omaha | +8.5 | L by 14 | -5.5 |
| 01/21 | Home | N Dakota St | +3.0 | L by 32 | -29.0 |
| 01/25 | Away | South Dakota | +8.5 | L by 7 | +1.5 |
| 01/28 | Home | IUPUI | +2.0 | W by 9 | +11.0 |
| 02/01 | Away | S Dakota St | +8.0 | L by 33 | -25.0 |
| 02/04 | Home | Neb Omaha | +4.0 | L by 12 | -8.0 |
| 02/08 | Away | Oral Roberts | +8.0 | W by 3 | +11.0 |
| 02/14 | Home | Denver | +5.0 | L by 6 | -1.0 |
| 02/18 | Away | N Dakota St | +11.0 | L by 9 | +2.0 |
| 02/23 | Home | South Dakota | +6.0 | L by 11 | -5.0 |
| 02/25 | Home | IPFW | +8.5 | L by 4 | +4.5 |
| 03/04 | Neutral | South Dakota | +9.0 | L by 9 | 0.0 |
N Dakota St Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11 | Home | Arkansas St | -12.0 | W by 10 | -2.0 |
| 11/13 | Home | -- | W by 30 | -- | |
| 11/18 | Neutral | Navy | -- | W by 7 | -- |
| 11/19 | Neutral | NC-Grnsboro | -3.5 | L by 11 | -14.5 |
| 11/20 | Away | High Point | -- | W by 26 | -- |
| 11/22 | Home | -- | W by 31 | -- | |
| 11/27 | Away | Missouri St | +5.0 | L by 14 | -9.0 |
| 11/29 | Away | Xavier | +17.0 | L by 30 | -13.0 |
| 12/02 | Away | NC A&T | -- | W by 18 | -- |
| 12/07 | Home | North Dakota | -5.0 | L by 18 | -23.0 |
| 12/14 | Home | UC Davis | -11.0 | W by 4 | -7.0 |
| 12/16 | Away | North Dakota | +5.0 | W by 17 | +22.0 |
| 12/20 | Away | Arkansas | +15.0 | L by 16 | -1.0 |
| 12/28 | Away | S Dakota St | +1.0 | W by 11 | +12.0 |
| 12/31 | Home | Neb Omaha | -7.0 | W by 12 | +5.0 |
| 01/05 | Home | IUPUI | -5.5 | W by 4 | -1.5 |
| 01/11 | Away | South Dakota | -2.0 | W by 1 | -1.0 |
| 01/14 | Away | Denver | -1.5 | L by 24 | -25.5 |
| 01/19 | Home | IPFW | -1.5 | W by 6 | +4.5 |
| 01/21 | Away | W Illinois | -3.0 | W by 32 | +29.0 |
| 01/25 | Home | Oral Roberts | -7.0 | W by 10 | +3.0 |
| 02/01 | Away | IUPUI | -2.0 | L by 5 | -7.0 |
| 02/04 | Home | South Dakota | -6.5 | L by 10 | -16.5 |
| 02/08 | Home | S Dakota St | -5.5 | W by 17 | +11.5 |
| 02/11 | Home | Denver | -5.0 | W by 18 | +13.0 |
| 02/15 | Away | IPFW | +4.5 | L by 16 | -11.5 |
| 02/18 | Home | W Illinois | -11.0 | W by 9 | -2.0 |
| 02/22 | Away | Oral Roberts | -2.0 | W by 2 | 0.0 |
| 02/25 | Away | Neb Omaha | -1.0 | L by 4 | -5.0 |
| 03/04 | Neutral | IUPUI | -5.0 | L by 19 | -24.0 |