Longwood at NC-Asheville: Box Score Simulation

Thursday Feb 13, 2020 6:00 pm - Asheville, NC
Odds: NC-Asheville by 5.5, Total Points: 143.5

More Games From Feb 13, 2020

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring LONG UNCA
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting LONG UNCA
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 52.2 53.6
Field Goal % 45.0% 47.1%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 30.6 31.5
2 Point Shooting % 50.2% 53.7%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 21.6 22.1
3 Point Shooting % 37.6% 37.6%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 17.8 19.7
Free Throw % 68.2% 64.2%
Ball Control LONG UNCA
Rebounds 33.5 31.1
Rebounds - Defensive 26.6 25.0
Rebounds - Offensive 6.9 6.0
Turnovers 14.9 11.8
Blocked Shots 1.9 2.4
Steals 5.3 7.1
Fouls 17.3 16.9

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LONG UNCA
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with LONG UNCA
2 Point Attempt 38.5% 40.3%
3 Point Attempt 27.2% 28.2%
Player Fouled 23.6% 24.2%
Turnover 20.9% 16.5%
Opponent Steal 9.9% 7.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken LONG UNCA
Shot Blocked 4.6% 3.7%
Offensive Rebound 21.6% 18.5%