VMI at Duquesne: Box Score Simulation

Wednesday Dec 4, 2019 7:00 pm - Pittsburgh, PA
Odds: Duquesne by 18.5, Total Points: 134

More Games From Dec 4, 2019

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring VMI DUQ
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting VMI DUQ
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 55.3 60.5
Field Goal % 37.1% 49.0%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 37.3 38.2
2 Point Shooting % 42.3% 56.9%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 18.0 22.4
3 Point Shooting % 26.2% 35.6%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 15.3 20.9
Free Throw % 70.4% 73.4%
Ball Control VMI DUQ
Rebounds 31.5 39.3
Rebounds - Defensive 23.8 29.1
Rebounds - Offensive 7.7 10.2
Turnovers 16.3 9.7
Blocked Shots 2.2 5.2
Steals 4.8 10.3
Fouls 15.4 13.8

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats VMI DUQ
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with VMI DUQ
2 Point Attempt 45.0% 45.3%
3 Point Attempt 21.7% 26.6%
Player Fouled 18.8% 21.1%
Turnover 22.3% 13.3%
Opponent Steal 14.1% 6.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken VMI DUQ
Shot Blocked 8.8% 4.0%
Offensive Rebound 21.0% 30.1%