UMKC at WI-Milwkee: Box Score Simulation

Friday Nov 15, 2019 8:00 pm - Milwaukee, WI
Odds: Milwaukee by 4, Total Points: 131.5

More Games From Nov 15, 2019

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring KC MILW
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting KC MILW
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 50.1 41.2
Field Goal % 45.0% 43.0%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 33.0 24.5
2 Point Shooting % 49.0% 47.0%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 17.1 16.6
3 Point Shooting % 37.4% 37.2%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 15.4 30.7
Free Throw % 61.5% 74.4%
Ball Control KC MILW
Rebounds 29.5 29.6
Rebounds - Defensive 23.6 25.0
Rebounds - Offensive 5.9 4.6
Turnovers 13.3 11.8
Blocked Shots 1.8 2.7
Steals 5.6 5.3
Fouls 23.9 15.5

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.8 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats KC MILW
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with KC MILW
2 Point Attempt 44.6% 34.0%
3 Point Attempt 23.2% 23.0%
Player Fouled 23.2% 35.7%
Turnover 19.8% 17.7%
Opponent Steal 8.0% 8.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken KC MILW
Shot Blocked 6.7% 3.6%
Offensive Rebound 19.1% 16.3%