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Kansas City at Iowa St: Box Score Simulation

Wednesday Dec 4, 2019 8:00 pm - Ames, IA
Odds: Iowa State by 18.5, Total Points: 139.5

Matchup Menu: KC @ ISU

More Games From Dec 4, 2019

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring KC ISU
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting KC ISU
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 50.6 52.2
Field Goal % 34.6% 48.5%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 22.9 35.9
2 Point Shooting % 43.0% 54.9%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 27.7 16.3
3 Point Shooting % 27.6% 34.4%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 16.4 26.8
Free Throw % 72.1% 70.8%
Ball Control KC ISU
Rebounds 32.7 34.1
Rebounds - Defensive 22.9 25.6
Rebounds - Offensive 9.8 8.5
Turnovers 16.9 9.2
Blocked Shots 3.1 3.2
Steals 4.8 9.3
Fouls 19.8 14.7

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.6 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats KC ISU
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with KC ISU
2 Point Attempt 28.7% 45.6%
3 Point Attempt 34.6% 20.7%
Player Fouled 21.4% 28.7%
Turnover 24.5% 13.4%
Opponent Steal 13.5% 6.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken KC ISU
Shot Blocked 6.2% 6.2%
Offensive Rebound 27.7% 27.1%